Tulane
W-L: (11- 3) PR = 82.0115Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Northwestern B10 ( 7- 6, 79.1) 23- 3 906 A So Alabama SUN ( 4- 8, 67.5) 33-31 913 H Duke ACC ( 9- 5, 81.2) 34-27 920 A Ole Miss SEC (13- 2, 89.5) 10-45 927 A Tulsa AME ( 4- 8, 67.6) 31-14 1009 H Ea Carolina AME ( 9- 4, 81.3) 26-19 1018 H Army AME ( 7- 6, 78.4) 24-17 1030 A UTSA AME ( 7- 5, 77.0) 26-48 1107 A Memphis AME ( 8- 5, 77.7) 38-32 1115 H Fla Atlantic AME ( 4- 8, 70.2) 35-24 1122 A Temple AME ( 5- 7, 71.4) 37-13 1129 H Charlotte AME ( 1-11, 49.9) 27- 0 1205 H No Texas AME (12- 2, 82.8) 34-21 1220 N Ole Miss SEC (13- 2, 89.5) 10-41
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H Northwestern 23- 3 20 8 ++ 5.88
906 A So Alabama 33-31 2 9 --- -7.28
913 H Duke 34-27 7 6 0.88
920 A Ole Miss 10-45 -35 -13 -1.25
927 A Tulsa 31-14 17 9 ++ 4.86
1009 H Ea Carolina 26-19 7 6 1.02
1018 H Army 24-17 7 9 -1.88
1030 A UTSA 26-48 -22 0 --- -13.75
1107 A Memphis 38-32 6 -1 +++ 6.94
1115 H Fla Atlantic 35-24 11 17 - -3.00
1122 A Temple 37-13 24 5 +++ 8.63
1129 H Charlotte 27- 0 27 37 0.00
1205 H No Texas 34-21 13 5 +++ 8.48
1220 N Ole Miss 10-41 -31 -7 --- -6.51
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 906 A So Alabama 33-31 2 9 --- -7.28 1030 A UTSA 26-48 -22 0 --- -13.75 1220 N Ole Miss 10-41 -31 -7 --- -6.51 1115 H Fla Atlantic 35-24 11 17 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 A Memphis 38-32 6 -1 +++ 6.94 1122 A Temple 37-13 24 5 +++ 8.63 1205 H No Texas 34-21 13 5 +++ 8.48 830 H Northwestern 23- 3 20 8 ++ 5.88 927 A Tulsa 31-14 17 9 ++ 4.86 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Northwestern ( 7- 6, 79.1) 23- 3 -20.75 30.47 -5.26 0.91 45.91
3 A So Alabama ( 4- 8, 67.5) 33-31 -32.42 18.80 5.26 0.91 43.81
3 H Duke ( 9- 5, 81.2) 34-27 -18.74 32.48 -5.26 0.91 49.57
3 A Ole Miss (13- 2, 89.5) 10-45 -10.39 40.82 5.26 0.91 -2.34
3 A Tulsa ( 4- 8, 67.6) 31-14 -32.29 18.93 5.26 0.91 44.06
3 H Ea Carolina ( 9- 4, 81.3) 26-19 -18.61 32.61 -5.26 0.91 49.81
3 H Army ( 7- 6, 78.4) 24-17 -21.51 29.71 -5.26 0.91 44.53
3 A UTSA ( 7- 5, 77.0) 26-48 -22.90 28.32 5.26 0.91 -8.03
3 A Memphis ( 8- 5, 77.7) 38-32 -22.20 29.02 5.26 0.91 62.43
3 H Fla Atlantic ( 4- 8, 70.2) 35-24 -29.66 21.56 -5.26 0.91 29.69
3 A Temple ( 5- 7, 71.4) 37-13 -28.52 22.70 5.26 0.91 50.93
3 H Charlotte ( 1-11, 49.9) 27- 0 -50.04 1.18 -5.26 0.91 -7.44
3 H No Texas (12- 2, 82.8) 34-21 -17.14 34.07 -5.26 0.91 52.48
3 N Ole Miss (13- 2, 89.5) 10-41 -10.39 40.82 -0.00 0.91 -4.73
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450.69
|
winning pts = 465.7988 losing points = -15.1042
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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